The same deep dive as the SPY page, for any ticker on the radar: win/loss on the 4-hour chart, breakdown by setup type, winners vs losers, where to put your stop, every example candle, and sell timing. Flip 4-Hour / Daily up top.
All — flagged setups, each drawn as mini 4-hour candles. The gold-ringed candle is the pause; the candle just before it is the push; the dashed box on the right is the next candle — the outcome. Stack as many filters as you want, then sort, and eyeball what the good and bad ones actually look like.
Every flagged setup from — — — in all (the most Yahoo’s hourly data allows). For each one: how far SPY moved in the next 4-hour candle, measured from the entry (the circled candle's close). 1st hr = where it sat one hour in, peak = the best green pop you could have sold into, close = where the candle finished.
The numbers that actually matter for sizing a trade. Win = peak from the open reaches your win target (default +0.15%, adjustable below). Popped green = went positive at any point (your chance to exit at a profit). Avg peak = the typical best pop to sell into. Avg close = where it ended if you held the whole candle. Worst close = the deepest a single setup finished, your downside reality check.
| Setup type | # | Win | Popped green | Avg peak | Avg close | Worst close |
|---|
| Setup (circled) | Type | Hold | 1st hr | Peak pop | Close | Result |
|---|
Setups from —. Entry = the circled candle's close; moves measured over the next 4-hour candle. Past results only — not a prediction. Yahoo 1-hour data only reaches back ~2 years, which caps how far this backtest can go.
Built from how far winning setups pulled back before they paid. Set a stop too tight and you get shaken out of trades that would have won. These numbers respect the current timeframe and win target.
If you bought $100 of the stock at the open on every setup here and always sold at the same time, this is how the money did. Realistic exit prices, not the peak. Respects the current timeframe and filters.
A small script checks SPY 4-hour candles a few minutes before each candle closes during market hours. When all the rules above line up, it sends one text so the entry window is not missed.